(AI) Caixin Weekly | Half-Year Report on Post-Pandemic Economic Recovery
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文|财新周刊 程思炜
By | Caixin Weekly, Cheng Siwei
在2023年一季度经济超预期复苏后,4月起多项经济指标表现不及预期,各方对复苏放缓的担忧开始加深。上半年中国经济修复进程如何?
After an unexpected economic recovery in the first quarter of 2023, several economic indicators underperformed starting from April, deepening concerns about a slowdown in recovery. How has the process of China's economic repair been in the first half of the year?
国家统计局7月17日发布的数据显示,二季度GDP(国内生产总值)同比增长6.3%,较一季度加快1.8个百分点,但弱于此前市场预期;从环比看,二季度GDP增长0.8%,虽然强于预期,但较一季度放缓1.4个百分点。考虑到2022年同期低基数,二季度GDP的两年平均增速仅为3.3%,明显低于一季度的4.6%,二季度GDP平减指数同比下降1.4%,2020年下半年以来首次为负,也显示需求趋弱。(可视化呈现GDP、消费、地产投资等指标走势,见财新数据通《【数据深阅读】二季度经济修复弱于预期 结构性复苏加剧“温差”》)
Data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on July 17 showed that China's GDP (Gross Domestic Product) grew by 6.3% year-on-year in the second quarter, accelerating by 1.8 percentage points from the first quarter, but weaker than market expectations. On a quarterly basis, second-quarter GDP growth was 0.8%, stronger than expected but slowing by 1.4 percentage points from the first quarter. Considering the low base in the same period of 2022, the two-year average growth rate of second-quarter GDP was only 3.3%, significantly lower than the first quarter's 4.6%. The index of average reduction in second-quarter GDP fell by 1.4% year-on-year, negative for the first time since the second half of 2020, also indicating weakening demand. (For a visual presentation of trends in GDP, consumption, real estate investment and other indicators, see Caixin Data's "Deep Reading: Second Quarter Economic Recovery Weaker Than Expected; Structural Recovery Intensifies 'Temperature Difference'".)
