Caixin
Apr 22, 2024 08:10 PM
OPINION

Commentary: Why Has Gold’s Inverse Relationship With the Dollar Reversed?

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As long as the U.S. fiscal deficit remains high, the upward trajectory of gold prices will likely continue in the long term. Photo: VCG
As long as the U.S. fiscal deficit remains high, the upward trajectory of gold prices will likely continue in the long term. Photo: VCG

The price of gold has long had a close relationship with real interest rates of the U.S. dollar: higher real interest rates in the U.S. — which usually mean a stronger greenback — lead to lower gold prices, and vice versa.

However, this correlation seems to have weakened. Over the past four years, gold prices have been rising, despite the dollar remaining relatively stable. One of the driving forces behind this change is the gold-buying spree by central banks.

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