Decline in Newborns Creates Surplus Funds For Vaccine Purchases (AI Translation)
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文|财新周刊 许雯 赵今朝
By Caixin Weekly's Xu Wen, Zhao Jinzhao
这可能是国家免疫规划扩容从讨论到落地距离最近的一次——新生儿减少节省了数以亿计的免疫规划疫苗采购经费。中国疾控中心有关负责人也积极对扩大免疫规划表达期许。
This may be the closest instance from discussion to implementation for the expansion of the national immunization program—reductions in newborns have saved billions in vaccine procurement costs for the immunization plan. A responsible official at the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention has also expressed hopes for expanding the immunization program.
已有17年未获实质性扩容的国家免疫规划,或许真正走到了调整与否的十字路口。“我刚从印尼回来,现在他们的国家规划免疫做得越来越好了,十年内纳入多个新疫苗。15年之前,中国做得很好,14个疫苗防15个病,我们和东南亚国家比是领先的,现在他们在迎头赶上。”不久前的一次南下考察之旅,让昆山杜克大学全球健康研究中心联合主任、疫苗交付研究创新实验室负责人汤胜蓝感慨颇多。
China's national immunization program, which has not seen substantial expansion in 17 years, may have reached a critical crossroads regarding adjustments. "I just returned from Indonesia, where their national immunization efforts are improving significantly, incorporating several new vaccines over the past decade. Fifteen years ago, China was doing well with 14 vaccines preventing 15 diseases, leading compared to Southeast Asian countries. Now, they are catching up," reflected Shenglan Tang, Co-Director of the Global Health Research Center at Duke Kunshan University and head of the Vaccine Delivery Research Innovation Lab, during a recent research trip to the south.
2022年,同为发展中国家的印度尼西亚经过三年试点接种计划,将肺炎链球菌结合疫苗(PCV)纳入国家免疫规划,在全国免费接种。2023年,印尼又将人乳头瘤病毒疫苗(HPV)纳入,免费为全年龄段公民提供。“印尼把PCV纳入国家免疫规划,现在又把HPV放进去了,而我们国家到现在还没有考虑把这两个世界卫生组织(WHO)重点推荐的疫苗放进去。”以印尼的紧凑步伐为参照,中国扩大免疫规划进程的停滞不前让汤胜蓝有些着急。
In 2022, Indonesia, a fellow developing nation, incorporated the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) into its national immunization program after a three-year pilot vaccination plan, offering it free of charge nationwide. In 2023, Indonesia further included the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine in its program, providing it for free to citizens of all ages. "Indonesia has added PCV to its national immunization schedule and now HPV as well, while our country has yet to consider including these two vaccines recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO)," noted Tang Shenglan with some urgency. Using Indonesia's brisk pace as a reference point highlights the stagnation in China’s expansion of its immunization plans.

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- China's National Immunization Program (NIP) has not expanded significantly since 2007, despite ongoing discussions and proposals at national conferences to include new vaccines like HPV and PCV, which are highly recommended by the WHO but still not part of China's NIP.
- The decline in birth rates in China has led to a reduction in vaccine procurement costs, saving over 1 billion yuan, potentially providing a financial opportunity to expand the NIP. However, there is concern about the sustainability of funding for such expansions.
- Indonesia has successfully incorporated additional vaccines into its national program, including HPV and PCV, offering them for free to all citizens. This contrasts with China’s slower pace in adopting new vaccines into its NIP despite similar economic conditions and public health challenges.
China's national immunization program, stagnant for 17 years, is at a pivotal point as discussions about expanding it gain momentum [para. 1]. The program currently includes 14 vaccines that prevent 15 diseases, but has not been updated with new vaccines since 2008 despite the availability of internationally recommended vaccines like PCV (pneumococcal conjugate vaccine) and HPV (human papillomavirus vaccine) [para. 1][para. 5]. In contrast, countries like Indonesia have rapidly incorporated these vaccines into their national programs [para. 3].
The World Health Organization's Expanded Programme on Immunization (EPI), launched in 1974, aimed to universalize life-saving vaccines globally. China responded in 1978 by starting its National Immunization Program (NIP), which saw significant expansions until 2007 [para. 4]. Despite this progress, including the successful eradication of polio in 2000 and a hepatitis B positivity rate of less than 1% among children under five due to vaccinations started in 2002, the inclusion of new vaccines has stalled [para. 4][para. 5].
The stagnation is partly due to high costs and public misconceptions about non-program vaccines, which are not free and must be paid for by citizens. These factors contribute to lower vaccination coverage rates compared to global averages [para. 6]. Proposals to include more modern vaccines like HPV and Hib have been repeatedly submitted during sessions of the National People's Congress and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference but have yet to result in changes to the immunization schedule [para. 6].
Financially, there is now an opportunity for expansion. The decline in birth rates has led to significant savings in vaccine procurement funds—over one billion yuan—which could potentially be redirected towards incorporating new vaccines into the NIP [para. 7][para. 8]. Additionally, local governments have begun using surplus funds for expanding vaccine types available for free or switching existing ones within their programs [para. 9].
Experts argue that integrating more vaccines into the national program would not only utilize existing healthcare infrastructure more efficiently but also address public health needs more effectively. For instance, diseases preventable by PCV continue to cause significant child mortality rates despite China having capabilities to produce this vaccine domestically [para. 10].
Looking ahead, discussions on how best to finance these expansions continue. Suggestions include leveraging medical insurance systems and optimizing funding models to ensure sustainable development of the national immunization program. This approach would align with international practices where health insurance often covers vaccination costs [para. 11][para. 12].
In summary, while China once led in immunization efforts globally, it now faces challenges in updating its program with newer vaccines essential for public health. The potential redirection of saved funds along with strategic financial planning could provide a pathway forward for expanding vaccine coverage nationally[para. 13].
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