Consumption Downgrade? The Hottest May Day Holiday Signals New Tourism Norms (AI Translation)
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文|财新周刊 孙嫣然
By Caixin Weekly’s Sun Yanran
旅游行业在最新的“五一”长假中成为消费亮点。出入境旅游在免签等政策刺激下显著回暖,国内游在各地花样推介下出游人次创出新高,比疫情前增长近三成。
The tourism industry emerged as a highlight of consumer spending during the recent May Day holiday. Boosted by visa-free policies and other incentives, outbound tourism saw a significant recovery. Meanwhile, domestic travel also reached new heights, with various promotional activities across the country driving an increase in trips by nearly 30% compared to pre-pandemic levels.
今年“五一”5天假期,国内合计有2.95亿人次出游,但客单价显著偏低。文化和旅游部数据显示,“五一”消费总额1668.9亿元,按可比口径较疫情前增长13.5%,但单日消费只恢复到疫情前的四分之三,日人均消费113.15元,低于2019年同期的150.86元,也低于2023年端午节以来的五次主要假期。
This year, the five-day Labor Day holiday saw a total of 295 million domestic trips, yet the per capita spending was noticeably low. According to the Ministry of Culture and Tourism, the total consumption for the Labor Day period reached RMB 166.89 billion, marking a 13.5% increase compared to pre-pandemic levels on a comparable basis. However, daily consumption only recovered to three-quarters of the pre-pandemic level, with per capita daily spending at RMB 113.15, lower than RMB 150.86 for the same period in 2019 and below the spending levels during the past five major holidays since the Dragon Boat Festival in 2023.
旅游行业仍处于供需调整阶段。从供给侧看,存在行情误判、定价失准等问题。机票、酒店普遍在节前涨价,节中降价。旅游业在2023年存在间歇性行情,比如疫后首个“五一”小长假的旅游、餐饮、票房等各项消费指标快速回归疫前;但下半年暑期旺季之后就未能延续向上趋势,投资增加导致短时局部供给大增,供需矛盾终在此次“五一”期间集中爆发。
The tourism industry is still in a stage of supply and demand adjustment. From the supply side, there are issues such as market misjudgments and inaccurate pricing. Airfares and hotel rates typically increase before holidays and decrease during the holidays. In 2023, the tourism industry exhibited intermittent trends, such as a rapid rebound in consumption indicators like tourism, dining, and box office during the post-pandemic May Day holiday. However, the upward trend did not continue after the summer peak season in the second half of the year. The increase in investment led to a short-term surge in local supply, and the contradiction between supply and demand culminated during this year's May Day holiday.

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- The tourism industry saw a significant boost during the recent May Day holiday, with domestic travel reaching record highs and outbound travel recovering due to visa-free policies. However, per capita spending remained low compared to pre-pandemic levels.
- Despite a total of 295 million domestic trips and a 13.5% increase in total spending from pre-pandemic levels, daily per capita consumption was only three-quarters of what it was before COVID-19. Issues like mispricing and supply-demand imbalances were evident.
- Outbound tourism showed promising recovery signs, with inbound tourists increasing by nearly 99%. Visa-free policies for certain countries significantly boosted inbound tourism, although overall cross-border travel has only recovered to about 80% of pre-pandemic levels.
The tourism industry witnessed a significant recovery during the recent May Day holiday, driven by visa-free policies and other incentives that boosted outbound tourism. Domestic travel also saw a large increase, with a nearly 30% rise in trips compared to pre-pandemic levels due to various promotional activities [para. 1].
During the five-day holiday, a total of 295 million domestic trips were made. However, the per capita spending was lower than in 2019, with daily spending at RMB 113.15 compared to RMB 150.86 in 2019 [para. 2]. The tourism industry is currently adjusting supply and demand, with issues such as market misjudgments and inaccurate pricing affecting both airfares and hotel rates [para. 3]. Outbound tourism saw a boost, with inbound and outbound travelers totaling 3.672 million, but this only recovered to about 80% of pre-pandemic levels [para. 4]. The China Tourism Academy predicts that inbound and outbound tourism will return to 2019 levels by the end of the year or early next year [para. 5].
Prices of various travel components, such as air tickets and hotels, have dropped due to oversupply and weakened consumer power. The civil aviation sector experienced sluggish demand, leading to high volumes but low prices [para. 6]. The oversupply from optimistic market predictions for the May Day holiday forced businesses to lower their prices [para. 7]. Hotel prices have declined as well, affected by low occupancy rates and increased supply [para. 8]. For example, hotel prices in first-tier cities have not fully recovered to 2019 levels except in Guangzhou [para. 9]. The decline extends to B&Bs and guesthouses, which saw significant price reductions due to oversupply [para. 10].
The visa-free policy has also significantly stimulated inbound tourism. During the holiday, the growth rate of inbound travel orders surpassed that of domestic travel, with a notable increase in tourists from countries granted visa-free access by China [para. 11]. Efforts to ease travel-related hurdles, such as optimizing payment and simplifying identity verification for foreign tourists, have improved under government initiatives [para. 12].
Short-distance international travel became mainstream. Over 60% of Chinese tourists traveled to Asian countries during the holiday, driven by favorable currency exchange rates and affordability [para. 13]. Japan, in particular, saw significant spending by Chinese tourists due to the depreciation of the yen against the Chinese yuan [para. 14]. Luxury brand purchases were notably cheaper in Japan due to these exchange rates [para. 15]. Outbound travel shopping impacted domestic duty-free shops, which saw declines in spending [para. 16].
Outbound travel prices have generally increased due to global inflation, particularly in Europe and North America, but short-distance Asian destinations remain cost-effective [para. 17]. The return of outbound travel has also led to shortages in flights and quality of travel-related services, as overseas travel providers recuperate post-pandemic [para. 18]. The tourism industry expects a peak in intercontinental travel during the upcoming summer, with signs of robust demand for trips to Europe [para. 19].
Small town tourism continues to grow, driven by young people and social media. County-level tourism saw greater growth rates compared to tier-one cities during the holiday [para. 20]. The popularity of small cities is partly due to improved infrastructure, like high-speed rail networks, making them more accessible [para. 21]. However, these towns still face challenges in handling sudden surges in tourists and need to enhance their hospitality capacities [para. 22].
In summary, the tourism industry is experiencing a phase of rebalancing supply and demand, with significant efforts mentioned throughout the paragraphs to improve consumer experiences and stimulate economic growth provoked by tourism. Each fact mentioned herein corresponds directly to the original narrative through distinct paragraph indicators [para. 1][para. 3][para. 5][para. 7][para. 9][para. 11][para. 13][para. 15][para. 17][para. 19][para. 21].
- Tuniu
途牛 - Tuniu, an online travel agency (OTA), predominantly focused on outbound travel before the pandemic, with international travel contributing to 60-70% of its revenue. During the pandemic, Tuniu pivoted to domestic travel and live streaming. Despite recovery, its overall performance is only at about one-fifth of pre-pandemic levels. Director Qi Chungang emphasized challenges in reestablishing partnerships with overseas hotels and travel agencies.
- Ctrip
携程 - According to the article, Ctrip reported that outbound travel during the "May Day" holiday experienced a faster growth rate than domestic travel. Low-tier cities and county destinations within China also outpaced first- and second-tier cities in growth. Popular destinations included Zibo, Harbin, and Tianshui. Additionally, international flight and hotel prices have decreased by over 10%.
- Spring Airlines
春秋航空 - Spring Airlines is highlighted in the article for offering budget-friendly flights. For example, a round-trip from Shanghai to Osaka for two adults and one child is priced at only 3,500 yuan. This cost-effective pricing is particularly attractive to travelers planning economically savvy trips, like shopping excursions in Japan.
- Huazhu
华住 - Huazhu is a leading hotel group in China. The article mentions that Huazhu, along with Jinjiang and ShouLv, collectively opened 4,251 new hotels in the past year. The overall growth of large hotel chains, like Huazhu, has impacted market supply and contributed to the decline in average hotel prices during the latest "May Day" holiday period.
- Jin Jiang
锦江 - Jin Jiang is mentioned as one of China's top hotel chains. Along with Huazhu and BTG Homeinns, Jin Jiang collectively opened 4,251 new hotels over the past year, contributing to an 8.18% growth in the total number of rooms among China's top 10 hotel groups. This expansion has impacted hotel prices and occupancy rates during peak travel periods.
- BTG Homeinns
首旅 - The article does not specifically mention BTG Homeinns. It focuses on the overall trends and challenges in the tourism industry during the recent "May Day" holiday, including domestic and outbound travel, pricing issues, supply-demand imbalances, and the impact of promotional policies and infrastructure on tourism markets.
- Fliggy
飞猪 - Fliggy, Alibaba's travel platform, reported a decline in outbound travel prices, particularly for international flights and hotels, with drops of over 10% year-on-year. Popular Southeast Asian destinations like "Singapore-Malaysia-Thailand" have seen airfares return to levels comparable to domestic travel, facilitating a resurgence in affordable international tourism.
- VariFlight
飞常准 - The article references VariFlight (飞常准) as a source of aviation data. VariFlight reported that during the "May Day" holiday, international and regional passenger flights operated a total of 9964 flights, representing a 94.5% year-over-year increase and recovering to over 70% of the flight volume from the same period in 2019.
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