U.S. Increases Tariffs on China by 34%; American Consumer Prices Set to Rise, Chinese Exports Likely to Decrease (AI Translation)
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文|财新 冯奕铭 屈运栩
By Caixin's Feng Yiming and Qu Yunxu
【财新网】美国再次对中国商品加税,冲击消费品出口。美东时间4月2日,美国总统特朗普宣布了全球瞩目的“对等关税”,特朗普政府将针对所有贸易伙伴征收不同水平的关税,拟对中国加征34%关税。随后一位白宫官员在回答CNBC记者提问时确认称,34%的对华对等关税将与原本的美国对华关税20%叠加,因此对中国征收的总关税税率将达54%,这一税率预计将在4月9日生效。
[Caixin Online] The U.S. has once again imposed tariffs on Chinese goods, affecting the export of consumer products. On April 2, Eastern Time, U.S. President Donald Trump announced the widely-discussed "reciprocal tariffs." The Trump administration plans to impose tariffs at different levels on all trading partners, intending to levy a 34% tariff on China. Subsequently, a White House official confirmed to a CNBC reporter that the 34% reciprocal tariff on China would be added to the existing U.S. tariff of 20% on Chinese goods, raising the total tariff rate on China to 54%. This rate is expected to take effect on April 9.
在靴子落地之前,各界对于关税如何征收有各种猜测,例如中美进出口的货品结构完全不同,如何实现“对等”?政策出台后加税范围和税率均超越市场预期,对中国消费品行业的冲击持续。
Before the dust settled, there was widespread speculation on how tariffs would be imposed, given that the import and export structures of China and the United States are entirely different. How would "reciprocity" be achieved? Once the policy was announced, the scope and rate of the tariff increase exceeded market expectations and continued to impact China's consumer goods industry.
按国别统计,美国仍是中国第一大贸易伙伴国。2024年中国对美出口额达5246.56亿美元,占总出口额的14.7%。分品类而言,中国主要对美国出口机电、音像设备,以钢铁和铝为代表的贱金属及其制品,以及纺织原料、塑料制品、服装、玩具、家具、灯具等劳动密集型产品。
By country, the United States remains China's largest trading partner. In 2024, China’s exports to the United States reached $524.656 billion, accounting for 14.7% of total exports. In terms of product categories, China primarily exports electromechanical products and audiovisual equipment, base metals and their products such as steel and aluminum, as well as labor-intensive products like textile materials, plastic products, clothing, toys, furniture, and lighting fixtures to the United States.

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- The U.S. has announced new 34% tariffs on Chinese goods, adding to an existing 20% tariff, raising the total to 54%, effective April 9.
- Tariffs affect a range of Chinese exports like apparel, furniture, and electronics, prompting companies to negotiate costs with U.S. customers or seek alternative markets like India.
- Despite efforts to diversify, the Chinese market's reliance on U.S. exports remains high, and many firms find the U.S. market too significant to exit, despite increasing supply chain shifts to India and other regions.
[para. 1][para. 3] The United States has re-imposed tariffs on Chinese goods, significantly impacting the export of consumer products from China. On April 2nd, U.S. President Donald Trump announced "reciprocal tariffs," imposing a 34% additional tariff on China. When combined with the existing 20% tariff, the total tariff rate on Chinese goods is now 54%, effective April 9. This substantial tariff increase has surpassed market expectations and is affecting China's consumer goods industry.
[para. 2] China remains the United States' largest trading partner, with exports reaching $524.656 billion in 2024, accounting for 14.7% of total exports. The primary categories of Chinese exports to the U.S. include electromechanical products, audiovisual equipment, base metals, textiles, clothing, toys, furniture, and lighting fixtures. These industries are particularly impacted by the new tariffs.
[para. 3][para. 4] Since February, the U.S. has imposed two rounds of tariffs on China. Initially, a 10% tariff on Chinese imports came into effect on February 4th, followed by an additional 10% on March 4th, bringing the combined tariff rate to 20%. These tariffs have put pressure on Chinese exports, especially in labor-intensive sectors. In the first two months of 2025, there was a notable year-on-year decrease in Chinese exports of apparel, furniture, footwear, and toys due to the tariff impacts.
[para. 5][para. 6] Chinese businesses affected by the tariffs have tried to absorb the costs through negotiations with American clients, often splitting the burden. For instance, an executive from a handbag company in Guangdong revealed that the tariffs have led to a 45% effective rate in this industry. The tariffs on Cambodian exports to the U.S. have similarly increased significantly.
[para. 7][para. 8] High tariffs have led to a shift in orders from China to other markets like India. Chinese manufacturers are facing pressure as they handle shrinking profit margins. Many businesses are trying to maintain client relationships despite facing potential losses, a challenge exacerbated by the rising tariffs.
[para. 9][para. 10] In response to the tariffs, some Chinese exporters are passing costs onto their American counterparts. However, not all companies are able to do this successfully, leading to complex negotiations. Select exporters with robust bargaining power have managed to make American customers bear the entire tariff cost. Meanwhile, strategic shifts in sourcing by U.S. companies have been observed.
[para. 11][para. 12] Due to tariff uncertainties, U.S. importers are adopting strategies such as "China+1" or "China+N," which involve diversifying supply sources beyond China. This shift is evident in companies like Walmart, which has decreased its reliance on Chinese imports while increasing imports from countries like India. These strategic changes aim to create more resilient supply chains.
[para. 13][para. 14] Some Chinese businesses have attempted to move parts of their production overseas to avoid tariffs, but global tariff increases have complicated these strategies. Tariffs have been levied on several countries, including those where Chinese businesses have relocated production.
[para. 15][para. 16] Chinese companies are striving to mitigate tariff impacts through cost-cutting and exploring new markets. However, transitioning the focus from international exports to domestic sales represents a significant challenge. The Chinese government is encouraging foreign trade entities to tap into domestic markets, but domestic demand and product variety remain barriers.
[para. 17][para. 18] Despite the changing trade landscape, products with technological advantages or well-developed industrial supply chains in China are less susceptible to replacement by other countries. Continuous innovation and industrial upgrading are seen as crucial steps for resisting the negative impacts of the tariffs. U.S. tariffs have led to considerable adjustments in global supply chains and are pushing companies to evaluate their sourcing strategies and cost structures.
- February 1, 2025:
- President Trump signed an executive order imposing a 10% tariff on all Chinese imports to the U.S., effective from February 4, 2025.
- February 27, 2025:
- Trump announced an additional 10% tariff on Chinese goods starting March 4, 2025.
- March 25, 2025:
- China's Ministry of Commerce announced measures to facilitate domestic sales channels for foreign trade products.
- April 2, 2025:
- U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 34% 'reciprocal tariff' on Chinese goods, bringing the total tariff rate on China to 54%, expected to take effect on April 9, 2025.
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