Chen Changhua: Examining the Labor Market Through Company Data (AI Translation)
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文|陈昌华
By Chen Changhua
过去几年,中央政府持续强调扩大内需,特别是居民消费。有评论认为就业压力是消费不振的重要原因,但官方公布的失业率一直维持在相当稳定的水平。本文尝试利用上市公司的数据对这个问题作出分析。
In recent years, China’s central government has consistently emphasized the importance of expanding domestic demand—particularly household consumption. While some analysts attribute sluggish consumption to employment pressures, official unemployment rates have remained relatively stable. This article seeks to address the issue by analyzing data from publicly listed companies.
首先,在6000多家公布雇员人数的上市公司中,雇员人数增长在2022年以后明显放缓。2024年底,这6000多家上市公司共雇佣3800多万人,约占城镇就业人数的8%,2022年到2024年,这些公司的雇员人数增加不到200万人。以年增长来看,2020年和2021年这些公司的雇员人数同比增幅分别有5.5%和6.4%,随后逐步下滑,到2024年增长0.8%,新增雇员不到29万人。
First, among more than 6,000 publicly listed companies that disclose their employee numbers, workforce growth has slowed noticeably since 2022. By the end of 2024, these listed companies collectively employed over 38 million people, representing about 8% of total urban employment. From 2022 to 2024, the number of employees at these companies rose by less than 2 million. On an annual basis, the year-over-year increase in their workforce stood at 5.5% in 2020 and 6.4% in 2021, but then declined steadily, reaching 0.8% in 2024, with fewer than 290,000 new employees added that year.
2021年以前,各行业的雇员人数增幅较平均,但之后分化明显。2022年至2024年,汽车和汽车零部件行业的上市公司雇员人数增加超过87万人,接近所有上市公司新增雇员人数的44%;工业设备是另一个提供大量新就业机会的行业,雇员增加超过56万人,占总新增人数的28%。汽车行业雇员人数大幅上升得益于电动车销售的高速增长,工业设备产业得益于近年来推动新质生产力的政策。此外,资讯科技硬件、半导体和物流等行业也增加了雇员人数。硬件和半导体行业跟新质生产力政策关系密切,而物流行业受益于疫情期间电子商贸的高速发展。
Before 2021, the employee growth across various industries remained relatively even. However, since then, a pronounced divergence has emerged. Between 2022 and 2024, publicly listed companies in the automotive and auto parts sector added over 870,000 employees, accounting for nearly 44% of the total increase in employment among all listed firms. The industrial equipment sector also emerged as a significant job generator, creating over 560,000 new positions—28% of the total growth. The sharp rise in auto industry jobs stemmed from the rapid expansion in electric vehicle sales, while the industrial equipment sector benefited from recent policy initiatives promoting new productive forces. Additional hiring was recorded in information technology hardware, semiconductors, and logistics. The hardware and semiconductor sectors are closely tied to policies encouraging advanced productivity, whereas logistics has gained from the boom in e-commerce during the pandemic.

- DIGEST HUB
- Employee growth in over 6,000 listed companies slowed significantly after 2022, reaching 0.8% in 2024 with fewer than 290,000 new employees.
- From 2022-2024, the automotive and industrial equipment sectors accounted for 72% of new hires among listed companies, contrasting with significant job losses in real estate and insurance.
- The proportion of listed companies reducing their workforce exceeded 50% in 2024, despite stable average wage growth of 3-4% annually from 2022-2024.
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- DeepSeek
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- 2020:
- Year-over-year workforce increase at listed companies reached 5.5%. 38% of listed companies decreased their headcount due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
- 2021:
- Year-over-year workforce increase at listed companies reached 6.4%. The proportion of companies reducing their workforce fell to 34.5%. Real estate industry begins to lose employees.
- 2022-2024:
- Listed companies' workforce grew by less than 2 million, with growth slowing sharply. Automotive and auto parts sector added over 870,000 employees; industrial equipment sector added over 560,000 employees.
- 2022-2024:
- Annual increase in average wages at listed companies ranged between 3% and 4%.
- 2024:
- Listed companies employed over 38 million people by year-end, representing about 8% of total urban employment. Year-over-year workforce growth slowed to 0.8%, with fewer than 290,000 new employees added. Automotive and auto parts sector added 280,000 jobs; real estate shed over 150,000 jobs; more than half of listed companies reduced staff. Wage growth at listed companies was 2.9%.
- Late September 2024:
- Notable changes in macroeconomic policy began.
- By the end of 2024:
- Corporate investment confidence had not rebounded; companies remained reluctant to hire new workers.
- 2025:
- Emergence of DeepSeek sparked a new wave of enthusiasm for AI innovation and application in China. The United States initiated a new round of tariff measures, adding uncertainty for China's foreign trade sector.
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