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Commentary: Semiconductors Deserve Long-Term Investment in Beijing’s Push for Self-Sufficiency

Published: Jan. 23, 2026  6:38 p.m.  GMT+8
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Photo: VCG
Photo: VCG

The value of the global semiconductor industry is projected to reach a record high of $1 trillion in 2026. At the same time, China’s chip industry will continue to thrive this year, with its value likely to grow at a rate of 20%. Despite these optimistic estimates, many venture capitalists in China are stepping back from semiconductors to invest more in technologies including nuclear fusion, commercial aerospace and robotics. That shift may prove wrong.

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  • The global semiconductor industry is projected to reach $1 trillion by 2026, with China's chip industry expected to grow by 20% in 2024.
  • Venture capital in China is shifting from semiconductors to high-risk sectors like nuclear fusion, commercial aerospace, and robotics, despite semiconductors' stable investment returns.
  • China still needs large-scale investment to achieve self-sufficiency in advanced chip production.
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Who’s Who
China Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund
The China Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund, also known as the "Big Fund," was established by the Chinese government to support the strategically important integrated circuit (IC) industry. It is a key element of the government's favorable policies aimed at fostering the development and self-sufficiency of China's chip production.
ICwise
ICwise is a Shanghai-based semiconductor market research firm. Gu Wenjun, the author of the article, serves as its chief analyst. The firm specializes in providing insights and analysis on the semiconductor market.
AI generated, for reference only
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