Caixin Asia New Vision Forum

Guan Tao 管涛

Chief Economist, Huafu Securites Co. Ltd. 华福证券首席经济学家

Guan Tao, Ph.D. in Economics, is the Chief Economist at Huafu Secuirites Co. Ltd. He is a doctoral supervisor and Dong Fureng Chair Professor at Wuhan University. Dr. Guan also holds several high-level roles, including Director of the Chief Economist (Development Strategy) Committee of Securities Association of China. He also serves as an executive council member of China Society for Financing & Banking and China Society of World Economics, as well as a council member of China International Finance Society.

A distinguished expert in macroeconomics and exchange rate research, Dr. Guan was a key architect of China’s foreign exchange reforms from 1994 to 2014. He was invited to advise the Premier at a high-level economic symposium for experts and entrepreneurs. He was named "Institutional Chief Economist of the Year" by Yicai (CFV) for six straight years (2020–2025) and recognized as a "Top Ten Macroeconomist" by Sina Finance from 2023 to 2025.

Dr. Guan is the author of the renowned "Renminbi Exchange Rate Sextet," a series spanning from China’s Opportunity: A Perspective on Global Economic Rebalancing (2010) to The Backlash of Currency (2025), which explores the evolution of the RMB exchange rate policy and the RMB globalization. His latest 2025 book is The New Currency Era: Reshaping Global Finance and New Opportunities for the RMB. 管涛，经济学博士。华福证券首席经济学家，武汉大学经济学博导、董辅礽讲座教授，中国证券业协会首席经济学家（发展战略）专业委员会主任委员，中国金融学会常务理事、世界经济学会常务理事、国际金融学会理事。

长期从事宏观经济、国际金融、货币政策、汇率政策等问题的研究，参加了1994年至2014年一系列重大外汇管理体制改革方案的设计。曾应邀参加总理经济形势专家和企业家座谈会。2020至2025年连续六届获得一财金融价值榜（CFV）年度机构首席经济学家。2023至2025年度蝉联新浪财经十大宏观经济学家。

著有人民币汇率“六部曲”：《中国先机：全球经济再平衡的视角》《汇率的本质》《汇率的博弈：人民币与大国崛起》《汇率的突围》《汇率的逻辑》《货币的反噬》和新书《货币新局：国际金融格局重塑与人民币新机遇》。