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Cover Story: Livestreamed Stock Tips Worry Regulators as Novice Investors Rush In

Published: Nov. 25, 2024  7:00 a.m.  GMT+8
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While livestreaming and social media have made it easier for stockbrokers to attract clients and offer trading advice, regulators are worried that these platforms are luring in inexperienced investors and making them prone to impulsive financial decisions.

“The pace is impossible to resist,” says Li, an executive at a mid-sized securities firm in central China. Each morning, he begins by checking the company’s livestream rooms, reviewing backend data and monitoring popular stock market streams.

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  • Livestreaming and social media have increased retail investor engagement in China, with many new investors influenced by online platforms, leading to impulsive financial decisions.
  • The recent market rally, driven by government stimulus, has attracted a generational shift in retail investors, but concerns about inexperience and market manipulation have grown.
  • Regulatory authorities are intensifying scrutiny over unlicensed financial advice on social media, including crackdowns on influential accounts and firms violating securities regulations.
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The recent proliferation of livestreaming and social media platforms has brought significant changes to China's stock trading landscape. These platforms have made it easier for stockbrokers to connect with potential investors and provide trading advice. However, regulators are concerned that these platforms entice inexperienced investors, making them vulnerable to impulsive financial decisions and potentially significant losses [para. 1].

Li, an executive at a mid-sized securities firm in central China, describes the irresistible pace of the market and the transformation of the A-share ecosystem due to livestreaming. His brokerage has hired dedicated staff for livestreams, reflecting the shift away from traditional methods that required specialized education [para. 2][para. 3]. This change is partly driven by a strong rebound in China’s stock market, fueled by government stimulus since late September. This rebound led to a surge in new retail investor accounts, many created through online platforms [para. 4][para. 5][para. 6].

The Shanghai Stock Exchange reported 6.84 million new individual accounts in October 2024, with most being opened online through livestreams. A majority of these accounts were created by people born in the 1990s and 2000s [para. 6][para. 7]. These new investors tend to lack practical financial experience and rely heavily on social media for market information. Many follow advice from online influencers without understanding the financial fundamentals, driven by the fear of missing out [para. 8][para. 9][para. 10].

There have been instances of stocks surging due to mere name coincidences with popular events, illustrating the inexperienced investors' tendency to react to viral trends without substantive reasoning. Such behaviors have led to some investors taking out loans to fund their stock purchases, resulting in significant financial losses when the market turned [para. 11][para. 12].

The recent speculation frenzy has been particularly focused on small and mid-cap stocks, with indexes like CSI 1000 and CSI 2000 showing substantial gains compared to large-caps. However, this speculative behavior is often linked to insider trading and manipulation, prompting regulatory action [para. 13][para. 14][para. 15].

Yao Pei, a chief analyst at Hua Chuang Securities, noted the influence of short video platforms in feeding this speculative boom, supported by data showing a massive number of users engaging with such content daily [para. 16][para. 17]. Some prominent online influencers have even been banned for promoting specific stocks, as their activities potentially mislead the public and disrupt the market [para. 18][para. 19][para. 20].

The challenge for regulators is growing as new technology facilitates rapid dissemination of financial information, some of which might cross regulatory lines. Despite stricter scrutiny and fines on advisory firms violating rules, enforcement faces difficulties due to the complexity introduced by online activities [para. 21][para. 22][para. 23][para. 24].

Competition is increasing for traditional securities advisory firms as brokerages and fund companies begin providing their own investment advice services. The market is also seeing consolidation, with the top firms capturing most of the revenues, indicating that smaller players might phase out in the future [para. 25][para. 26][para. 27][para. 28].

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Who’s Who
Hua Chuang Securities
Hua Chuang Securities' chief analyst, Yao Pei, noted that the recent trading boom in China's stock market originated from short video platforms. Social media accelerates information spread and amplifies emotional contagion, impacting market expectations. Many new investors follow influencer advice without considering fundamentals, contributing to the trading frenzy.
ByteDance
ByteDance owns Douyin, a short video platform with 780 million monthly active users in China. The platform has been a significant influence on stock market behaviors among young Chinese investors, who often rely on it for financial information. ByteDance's marketing data highlights that Douyin users discussing "A-shares" mostly come from major cities and are predominantly male, aged 18-40.
Kuaishou
Kuaishou had 427 million monthly active users as of June, according to QuestMobile. It is one of the short-video platforms popular in China, playing a role in the recent trading boom by spreading information quickly and influencing market expectations. Users average about 60.7 hours a month on short-video platforms, or around two hours daily.
Zhejiang RoyalFlush Cloud Software Co. Ltd.
Zhejiang RoyalFlush Cloud Software Co. Ltd. was one of the firms fined for irregular online operations in 2024, illustrating regulatory tightening in the securities investment advisory sector. The company engaged in extensive brand promotion on social media, which drew regulatory attention.
Shanghai Jiufang Cloud Intelligent Technology Co. Ltd.
Shanghai Jiufang Cloud Intelligent Technology Co. Ltd. engaged in extensive brand promotion on social media platforms like Douyin and Xiaohongshu, operating 488 accounts with 46 million followers by June. Its chief investment adviser, “Master Hong,” has 2.26 million followers on Douyin. In the first half of the year, the company livestreamed for 23,466 hours, averaging 130 hours daily across various platforms.
HOB Biotech Group Corp. Ltd.
HOB Biotech Group Corp. Ltd., listed on Shanghai’s STAR Market, experienced a significant surge in value, gaining 258.32% between October 31 and November 8. It topped the market by hitting daily limits for seven consecutive trading days. With a market value of 2.4 billion yuan as of October 31, it ranked 480th among the 578 STAR Market stocks. This spike led to a suspension for inspection amidst concerns of market manipulation.
Wise Soft
Before Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential election, Shenzhen-listed Wise Soft experienced a surge in its stock price. This increase was due to its name in Chinese sounding similar to "Trump wins," leading investors to buy heavily despite the lack of logical connection, as influenced by viral Douyin videos.
SDLomon
Before Donald Trump’s U.S. election victory, SDLomon saw a surge in its stock prices simply because its Chinese name sounded like "Trump wins." Recently, promoted by livestream influencers, SDLomon surged 107.4% over 10 trading days from Oct. 23, with individual investors accounting for 44.6 billion yuan in transactions, representing 91.2% of the stock’s volume. This highlights speculative trading driven by social media.
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What Happened When
Early 2024:
Since early 2024, 16 local securities regulators fined 31 securities investment advisory firms for irregular online operations.
As of June 2024:
China had 989 million monthly active short-video users, with platforms like Douyin having a massive user base.
Late September 2024:
China's stock market rebounded strongly after nearly two years of sluggish performance.
Sept. 11, 2024, to Oct. 22, 2024:
Data showed that Douyin users discussing 'A-shares' were mainly young males from urban areas.
Sept. 24, 2024, to Nov. 20, 2024:
CSI 1000 and CSI 2000 indexes saw average gains of over 40%, with high turnover rates during the stock market rally.
October 2024:
The Shanghai Stock Exchange recorded 6.84 million new individual accounts, the third highest month on record.
Oct. 11, 2024:
Douyin reported handling more than 3,600 stock-related accounts for violations and removed over 15,000 pieces of non-compliant content.
Oct. 23, 2024, to After:
SDLomon's stock surged 107.4% over 10 trading days, driven by individual investor transactions.
Oct. 31, 2024, to Nov. 8, 2024:
HOB Biotech Group's stock gained 258.32%, leading to suspension for inspection.
Nov. 11, 2024, to 15, 2024:
Shenzhen Stock Exchange took regulatory action against 270 cases of unusual trading.
Before Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential election:
Shenzhen-listed Wise Soft and SDLomon saw a surge, attributed to their names sounding similar to 'Trump wins'.
AI generated, for reference only
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