Chart of the Day: China’s Industrial Profits Slump Eases
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The decline in profits at China’s major industrial companies eased last month, helped by the slew of stimulus measures introduced over the past few months to support economic growth, although profits for the first 10 months fell the most this year, official data show.
Industrial profits dropped by 10% year-on-year in October, narrowing from a 27.1% slump the previous month and showing the first improvement since July, led by a recovery in the manufacturing sector, data released Wednesday by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) show. Even so, profits for the January-October period fell 4.3% year-on-year, widening from a 3.5% drop in the first nine months. The data cover industrial companies with annual turnover from their core business of 20 million yuan or more.
“In October, the synergy of existing policies and additional stimulus continued to act on the economy, contributing to the stable growth of major industrial companies and the narrowed decline in their profits,” Yu Weining, a statistician with the NBS’s industrial department, wrote in an analysis of the data. “Most industries saw an improvement in profits compared with the previous month, with sectors including equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing providing strong support (to the overall performance) as new growth drivers,” Yu wrote. “The profit decline in raw materials processing and consumer goods manufacturing narrowed significantly.”
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- DIGEST HUB
- China's major industrial companies saw a 10% year-on-year profit drop in October, an improvement from the 27.1% decline in September, aided by government stimulus measures.
- Profits for January-October declined 4.3% year-on-year, indicating cumulative deterioration despite improvements in October, particularly in manufacturing.
- Recovery was noted in 27 of the 41 major industrial sectors; manufacturing significantly contributed to profit improvement, while falling prices and margins continue to challenge overall profit growth.
- Moody's Analytics
- Moody's Analytics, represented by Harry Murphy Cruise, provides an analysis indicating that while China's stimulus measures have helped industrial profits, their long-term success hinges on boosting new consumer spending. If these measures fail to increase consumer confidence, spending will remain limited and industrial profits weak, according to Murphy Cruise.
- China Minsheng Banking Corp. Ltd.
- China Minsheng Banking Corp. Ltd. analysts noted that the decline in industrial profits was influenced by falling industrial prices, as indicated by a decline in the producer price index, and lower profit margins. This combination contributed to the continued deterioration in industrial performance over the first 10 months of 2024.
- September 2024:
- Industrial profits experienced a 27.1% year-on-year slump.
- October 2024:
- Industrial profits dropped by 10% year-on-year, improving from a 27.1% slump in September 2024 and showing the first improvement since July 2024. Profits for January-October 2024 period fell 4.3% year-on-year.
- January-October 2024:
- The profits for major industrial companies deteriorated cumulatively, with a decline of 4.3%, marking the worst performance in 11 months.
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