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Chart of the Day: Over a Dozen Chinese Provinces Set Lower GDP Targets

Published: Jan. 21, 2025  8:22 p.m.  GMT+8
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Around half of the Chinese mainland’s provincial-level governments have set 2025 GDP growth targets lower than last year’s, as domestic demand remains tepid and the international environment continues to be unstable.

The goals were announced as local legislative meetings took place in January. Of the 31 provincial-level regions, 15 set targets lower than last year’s.

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  • Half of China's provincial-level governments set lower 2025 GDP growth targets compared to last year, with Tianjin being the only exception increasing its target to around 5%.
  • The weighted average GDP growth target across the 31 regions is 5.26%, slightly below last year’s 5.41%.
  • Consumption growth targets are higher, with Hainan aiming above 10%, contrasting with fixed-asset investment growth in some regions ranging from 8% to above 15%.
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Who’s Who
Huachuang Securities Co. Ltd.
Huachuang Securities Co. Ltd. is an analyst firm mentioned in the article, which provided an analysis of the weighted average GDP growth target for China's 31 regions, noting it as 5.26%, slightly lower than the previous year's 5.41%. They also predict a national GDP target of 5% for the year, ahead of its official announcement.
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What Happened When
January 2025:
Local legislative meetings took place where provincial-level governments announced 2025 GDP growth targets.
January 20, 2025:
Huachuang Securities published a report predicting the national GDP target for 2025 to likely be 5%.
January 20, 2025:
Donald Trump was inaugurated as the 47th U.S. president.
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