Latest Cover Story | The Sudden Rise of DeepSeek Shakes the Fundamental Logic of AI Investment and Computing Power Competition (AI Translation)
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文|财新周刊 刘沛林 屈运栩
By Caixin Weekly's Liu Peilin and Qu Yunxu
文|财新周刊 刘沛林 屈运栩
By Liu Peilin and Qu Yunxu, Caixin Weekly
一家中国人工智能(AI)公司横空出世,引发美国资本市场剧震,金融机构争相大幅抛售芯片公司股票,让全球最大上市公司——英伟达的市值一夜之间缩水近五分之一,史所罕见。
A Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) company has emerged, sparking a seismic reaction in the U.S. capital markets. Financial institutions have raced to dramatically offload shares in chip companies, causing the market value of Nvidia, the world's largest publicly traded company, to shrink by nearly one-fifth overnight, an unprecedented event.
总部位于中国杭州的私募机构幻方量化旗下大模型公司DeepSeek(深度求索),于2024年12月26日发布新一代开源预训练大模型DeepSeek-V3,并在2025年1月15日推出面向普通用户的App,随后又在1月20日发布开源模型R1,对标OpenAI最先进的推理模型o1。
DeepSeek, a large model company under Quantum Hedge Fund based in Hangzhou, China, released its next-generation open-source pre-trained large model DeepSeek-V3 on December 26, 2024. The company launched an app for general users on January 15, 2025, and subsequently released the open-source model R1 on January 20, positioning it against OpenAI's most advanced reasoning model o1.

- DIGEST HUB
- Chinese AI company DeepSeek launched advanced models, challenging OpenAI's lead and causing Nvidia's market value to drop nearly 20% overnight.
- DeepSeek's models, comparable to OpenAI's, use fewer resources, leading to global market interest and debate over U.S. AI leadership.
- The emergence of DeepSeek led to widespread cloud service adaptations and a reevaluation of AI investments, highlighting China's innovative capabilities in AI.
A seismic shift in the U.S. capital markets was triggered by the rise of DeepSeek, a Chinese artificial intelligence company under Quantum Hedge Fund, headquartered in Hangzhou, China. Following the unveiling of its next-generation open-source model DeepSeek-V3 in December 2024, the U.S. stock market saw a major upheaval as financial institutions swiftly sold shares in chip companies, causing a significant decline in Nvidia’s market valuation[para. 1]. DeepSeek’s free and highly accessible AI app has quickly risen to the top of the U.S. App Store, outpacing well-established apps like ChatGPT, Temu, and Shein, sparking discussions on social media[para. 3].
The model’s unprecedented rise and open-source innovation have increased traffic to DeepSeek's website by 2257% month-on-month, hitting 278 million visits in January 2025, a noteworthy achievement even if it still trails ChatGPT’s 3.8 billion visits[para. 4]. DeepSeek’s breakthrough comes at a time when OpenAI’s focus has shifted from pre-training to enhancing model capabilities with reinforcement learning, motivating the introduction of its o1 model[para. 6]. Experts note that DeepSeek-V3’s capabilities are comparable to those of GPT-4o, pointing out that while DeepSeek’s training costs are significantly lower, its performance is on par with leading models like those from OpenAI and Meta’s advanced models[para. 9].
Industry leaders such as Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella and Scale AI’s Alexandr Wang acknowledge DeepSeek's potential, noting its cost-efficient approach to achieving high-performance AI[para. 12][para. 13]. DeepSeek’s low computational cost has provoked skepticism about whether massive investments in computational power truly offer a lasting competitive advantage, as the emergence of the Chinese company has proved otherwise[para. 15]. On the trading floor, Nvidia and several major U.S. chip companies experienced significant value losses, instigated by DeepSeek’s breakthrough, marking the largest one-day market decline for Nvidia in history[para. 16][para. 17].
Despite allegations of data misuse and appropriating OpenAI’s models, such claims lack evidence and face dismissal from AI experts who see platform models as being trained on publicly available web data[para. 19][para. 23]. DeepSeek has quickly become a focal point in the U.S.-China AI competition—past U.S. presidential policies imposed semiconductor export controls impacting China’s access to AI chips, a narrative DeepSeek’s open-source model stands to disrupt[para. 25][para. 27].
DeepSeek's rise highlights the importance of efficient AI development amidst an industry largely dominated by proprietary models. The company’s technique of scaling reinforcement learning shows a potential paradigm shift away from closed-source approaches. Industry professionals like Tsinghua University's Liu Zhiyuan note the strategic necessity for Chinese firms to embrace open source and algorithm optimization to remain competitive, advocating for the creation of innovative mechanisms and a better software market environment within China[para. 34][para. 36].
Overall, DeepSeek has triggered a reevaluation of global AI strategies, underscoring the dynamism and unpredictability inherent in technological advancement[para. 38]. Its emergence signals not only a potential title shift in AI leadership but also highlights the crucial role cooperation and open-source strategies may play in future AI development[para. 40].
- NVIDIA
- NVIDIA experienced a significant drop in its stock, falling 16.86% and losing $589 billion in market value on January 27, 2025, after the Chinese AI company DeepSeek revealed new models. DeepSeek's models, developed with significantly fewer GPUs and lower costs, challenged NVIDIA's leading position in AI hardware. Despite this, NVIDIA acknowledged DeepSeek's advancements and emphasized that inference still requires substantial NVIDIA GPUs and high-performance networks.
- MirageFund
- MirageFund, based in Hangzhou, China, is the parent company of DeepSeek and has nearly a decade of experience in quantitative trading. It's one of the earliest companies in China to use AI and computer technology in financial transactions. Founded in 2015 by Liang Wenfeng, MirageFund quickly grew, managing nearly a trillion yuan in assets by 2021. Despite its impact, the company remains low-profile, with a focus on AI-driven quantitative investment.
- DeepSeek
- DeepSeek, a Chinese AI company from Hangzhou under Huafang Quantitative, launched the open-source pre-trained model DeepSeek-V3 and the R1 model in late 2024 and early 2025. The models rival OpenAI's latest releases but with significantly lower training costs. DeepSeek-V3 achieved this using just 2,048 Nvidia GPUs, costing about $557.6 million. The company's open-source approach challenges the closed models of established US firms, influencing global AI competition.
- SiliconFlow
- SiliconFlow provides inference deployment services for various open-source large models. Founded by Yuan Jinhui, the company quickly launched inference services for DeepSeek after its release. Despite initially opting out of costly server preparations, SiliconFlow adapted by using Huawei Ascend chips, achieving unexpected user growth. They recognize the potential of efficient, cost-effective large models like DeepSeek to disrupt traditional AI deployment and champion open-source innovation.
- Google Cloud, after the release of DeepSeek R1, quietly added deployment guidelines for the model in its technical blog. During discussions about AI infrastructure investments, Google's CEO Sundar Pichai noted that despite lowered training demands, the increased inference demands and their extensive user base necessitate significant computational resources. Google's projected capital expenditure for 2025 is $75 billion, a 40% increase from the previous year, which led to a notable drop in their stock price following their financial report.
- Meta
- Meta responded to DeepSeek's emergence by defending its AI investments. Meta's CEO emphasized that while model training needs might decrease, vast computational power would still be required to serve its massive user base. Despite concerns about DeepSeek's cost-efficient advances, Meta planned to continue significant infrastructure investments, seeing them as a strategic advantage. Following DeepSeek, Meta faced scrutiny on AI spending, and its AI strategy was questioned by its engineers.
- Microsoft
- Microsoft's CEO Satya Nadella praised DeepSeek during a CNBC interview at the 2025 World Economic Forum in Davos, acknowledging its impressive AI advancements. Despite the impact on OpenAI's lead, Microsoft continues to integrate DeepSeek models. On January 29, 2025, Microsoft announced it would incorporate DeepSeek's R1 model into its model library and leverage an optimized version for its AI assistant, emphasizing a balanced investment in model training and inference.
- Amazon
- According to the article, Amazon Web Services (AWS) added DeepSeek R1 to its model deployment platform on January 30th. AWS predicted its capital expenditure for 2025 to be $100 billion, compared to $83 billion in 2024, driven primarily by AI investments.
- Broadcom
- Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) experienced a significant drop in its stock price, falling by 17.40% on the same day that Nvidia and other chip stocks saw collective declines. This occurred amid the market upheaval caused by DeepSeek's advancements in AI technology, which raised concerns about the future demand for high-end GPUs, impacting Broadcom and other major chip manufacturers.
- TSMC
- TSMC experienced a significant drop in its stock price on the same day DeepSeek's success impacted the market. On January 27, TSMC's stock fell by 13.33%, as part of a broader sell-off in chip stocks following the emergence of the Chinese AI company DeepSeek, which threatened established tech giants like Nvidia by demonstrating competitive AI models with significantly lower computational costs.
- Micron
- Micron (NASDAQ: MU) experienced a significant stock price drop of 11.71% in response to market reactions following the emergence of the Chinese AI company DeepSeek. This sell-off occurred amid wider declines in the chip sector, as investments were reevaluated in light of DeepSeek's advancements in AI modeling, which have challenged assumptions about U.S. companies' leadership in AI technology.
- ASML
- ASML, a leading provider in the photolithography market, experienced a stock drop of 5.75% on the day affected by the global reaction to DeepSeek's AI advancements, as mentioned in the article. The decline occurred amid a broader sell-off of chip stocks influenced by DeepSeek's entry and impact on the AI field.
- Huawei
- Huawei, represented by its Ascend chip, has adapted to the DeepSeek model's original or distilled versions. After DeepSeek's popularity surged, Huawei's team worked through the Chinese New Year to handle DeepSeek's traffic surge, launching full-size model inference services by February 1.
- Tencent
- In response to the rise of DeepSeek, Tencent Cloud launched the deployment tools for the DeepSeek R1 model on February 2, 2025. The tools support four distilled model versions, allowing developers to integrate these models quickly. This move was part of a broader reaction among Chinese cloud providers to the global impact of DeepSeek's open-source models, highlighting Tencent's efforts to stay competitive in the evolving AI landscape.
- Alibaba Cloud
- In response to DeepSeek's success, Alibaba Cloud announced on January 28 the open-sourcing of its visual understanding model Qwen2.5-VL and upgraded its flagship closed-source model Qwen2.5-Max to rival DeepSeek-V3. By February 3, Alibaba Cloud also listed distilled versions of DeepSeek-V3 and R1 models, offering "three-step, zero-code" deployment, while providing one-click deployment for the models' original size.
- Baidu
- Following DeepSeek's success, Baidu Cloud announced on February 3 that it launched deployment services for the V3 and R1 model distilled versions, offering a limited-time two-week free trial for model usage, emphasizing competitive pricing.
- ByteDance
- The article mentions ByteDance in the context of the rapid response by various companies to DeepSeek's emergence. After DeepSeek's success, ByteDance, through its subsidiary Volcano Engine, announced the launch of a comprehensive DeepSeek model, following the trend set by other major Chinese tech companies in deploying or adjusting AI models in reaction to DeepSeek's breakthrough capabilities.
- Iluvatar CoreX
- The article does not provide any information about Iluvatar CoreX. It focuses on the emergence of DeepSeek, an AI company, and its impact on the global AI industry and the financial markets. If you are looking for information specifically about Iluvatar CoreX, it might be best to consult other sources directly related to that company.
- Moore Threads
- Moore Threads is a Chinese AI chip manufacturer that has adapted its chips to support DeepSeek's original or distilled smaller version models. This adaptation showcases the company's involvement in the AI industry by ensuring compatibility with emerging AI models like DeepSeek.
- Muxi
- Muxi is mentioned as a Chinese AI chip manufacturer that has adapted to the DeepSeek model alongside others like Tianzhizhixin and Moore Threads. They claim to support either the original or distilled smaller versions of the DeepSeek model, highlighting their involvement in adapting AI technology within China's growing AI infrastructure ecosystem.
- December 26, 2024:
- DeepSeek releases its next-generation open-source pre-trained large model DeepSeek-V3.
- January 15, 2025:
- DeepSeek launches an app for general users.
- January 20, 2025:
- DeepSeek releases the open-source model R1.
- January 22, 2025:
- Satya Nadella praises DeepSeek during an interview with CNBC at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.
- January 27, 2025:
- Nvidia shares plummet by 16.86% due to the impact of DeepSeek.
- January 27, 2025:
- Donald Trump comments on DeepSeek in a speech to Republican lawmakers.
- January 28, 2025:
- Nvidia responds to Caixin regarding the impact of DeepSeek.
- January 29, 2025:
- Microsoft announces it will add DeepSeek R1 to its model library.
- January 30, 2025:
- Amazon Web Services deploys DeepSeek R1 on its large model deployment platform.
- January 31, 2025:
- Sam Altman acknowledges that DeepSeek has altered OpenAI's lead in AI models.
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