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Commentary: Why Real Estate Is Still So Important to China’s Economy

Published: May. 29, 2025  6:58 p.m.  GMT+8
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Although consumption and tech innovation are still China’s policy priorities, stabilizing the slumping real estate market remains crucial, especially in light of the recent cooling in both sales and prices.

Real estate’s contribution to China’s economy has declined over the last few years, but that doesn’t mean the sector is no longer important. The economic fallout from the real estate slump has been masked in part by strong overseas demand for Chinese goods. If foreign demand takes a turn for the worse, it will become clear just how important real estate is to stabilizing China’s economy.

China’s Exports Cushion Blow From Property Slump

The key to stopping the property decline and bolstering the market lies in stabilizing home prices, as they reflect household wealth and the value of banks’ collateral, creating the bedrock for consumer confidence and credit expansion. Purely relying on lower prices in the hope of boosting sales is unlikely to lead to full market rebalancing.

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  • Stabilizing China’s real estate market is vital, as the sector’s weak performance has been partially masked by strong exports.
  • Roughly 75% of surveyed people delayed home purchases after the U.S. tariff war, reflecting low household confidence.
  • Recovery in home prices is expected to be slow, with policymakers unlikely to introduce new stimulus due to recent solid GDP and tariff de-escalation.
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Who’s Who
China Index Holdings Ltd.
According to the article, China Index Holdings Ltd. is a real estate industry data provider. In May, they published a survey of around 10,000 people showing that roughly three-quarters of respondents preferred delaying home purchases following the U.S. tariff war in April.
Changjiang Securities Co. Ltd.
Changjiang Securities Co. Ltd. is a financial services firm in China. In the article, Wu Ge is identified as the chief economist at Changjiang Securities. The company is mentioned in relation to economic analysis and commentary, specifically addressing issues in China’s property and financial markets. No further details about the company are provided within the article content.
AI generated, for reference only
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