Caixin

Analysis: Brazil’s Oil, Steel and Aircraft Industries to Face Trump Tariffs

Published: Jul. 11, 2025  6:54 p.m.  GMT+8
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Photo: VCG
Photo: VCG

(Poder360) ― The Trump administration is set to impose a blanket 50% tariff on all goods imported from Brazil, a move that threatens to disrupt billions of dollars in trade and hit key sectors of the South American nation’s economy, including oil, steel and aerospace.

The tariff, announced by U.S. President Donald Trump, is slated to take effect on Aug. 1. The decision stands to affect a significant trade relationship. Brazil exported $40.4 billion in goods to the U.S. in 2024, accounting for 12% of its total exports.

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  • The Trump administration will impose a 50% tariff on all Brazilian imports starting August 1, 2025, affecting $40.4 billion in 2024 exports, including key sectors like oil, steel, and aerospace.
  • The U.S. has also started a Section 301 investigation into Brazil’s trade policies, despite economists disputing the stated U.S. trade deficit with Brazil.
  • Economists warn of serious negative impacts on Brazil's economy, including inflation and loss to its industrial sector.
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Who’s Who
Poder360
Poder360 is a Brazilian news outlet that originally published an article in Portuguese on July 10. This article, discussing the Trump administration's tariffs on Brazilian goods, was then translated and republished by Caixin Global under a content-sharing agreement.
Austin Rating
Austin Rating is a financial rating agency. Its chief economist, Alex Agostini, disputed Donald Trump's claim of a U.S. trade deficit with Brazil. Agostini stated that official data shows Brazil has run a trade deficit with the U.S. since 2009, calling Trump's justification for tariffs a "lie."
LAM Asset Management
Jason Vieira, chief economist and partner at LAM Asset Management, commented on the US tariff on Brazilian goods. He suggested that the tariff's political underpinnings, specifically linking it to Brazil's prosecution of former president Jair Bolsonaro, make it potentially more prolonged than similar measures taken against other countries.
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What Happened When
2009:
Since 2009, Brazil has run a trade deficit with the United States, according to official data.
2024:
Brazil exported $40.4 billion in goods to the U.S.; this accounted for 12% of Brazil’s total exports. Crude oil and its derivatives exports to the U.S. totaled at least $7.5 billion, or 18.3% of all exports to the U.S. The Brazilian aerospace industry exported $2.7 billion to the U.S.
July 10, 2025:
The article was originally published in Portuguese by Ponder 360.
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