Caixin

Update: China’s Quarterly GDP Growth Slows to 4.8% as Weak Consumption Weighs

Published: Oct. 20, 2025  7:31 p.m.  GMT+8,  Updated: Oct. 20, 2025  7:31 p.m.
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China’s GDP growth slowed in the third quarter to a one-year low, with weaker domestic consumption, a deepening property slump, and the first decline in fixed-asset investment in five years.

The 4.8% year-on-year growth figure, which the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released Monday along with September economic activity data, matches the average forecast in a Caixin survey of economists.

It marks a further slowdown from the 5.2% in the previous quarter, taking growth for the first nine months to 5.2%.

China’s GDP Growth Slows Further

“The slowdown in third-quarter growth was driven by a combination of factors,” an NBS spokesperson said in a Q&A following the data release, pointing to a “complex and challenging” overseas environment, combined with mounting pressures from domestic economic restructuring.

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Explore the story in 30 seconds
  • China’s GDP grew 4.8% year-on-year in Q3, matching expectations, down from 5.2% in Q2.
  • Key indicators: industrial production up 6.5% in September, retail sales up 3%, property investment down 13.9% for the first nine months.
  • Growth faces risks from U.S.–China trade tensions, weak domestic demand, and a sluggish property market.
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