Caixin

Photo Essay: Drowned Harvest Leaves Chinese Farmers Facing Ruin

Published: Nov. 7, 2025  6:03 p.m.  GMT+8
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A farmer pulls a basin filled with sorghum heads through a flooded field in Jinzhong, Shanxi province on Oct. 25. Photo: Zhang Ruixue/Caixin
A farmer pulls a basin filled with sorghum heads through a flooded field in Jinzhong, Shanxi province on Oct. 25. Photo: Zhang Ruixue/Caixin

On a late October morning, Lu Benchu, 65, stood in chest-high waders, harvesting sorghum from a field that looked more like a lake.

Beside him was his 71-year-old neighbor, Qin Baoku, slicing at the waterlogged stalks. A tracked harvester, designed for soggy ground, churned through mud in the distance, but for grain that had collapsed into the deepest water, only manual labor would do.

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  • Northern China’s agricultural heartland faced record-breaking drought followed by historic rainfall in 2023-2024, causing severe crop losses due to both water shortage and flooding.
  • The extreme weather was driven by an unusually stationary West Pacific subtropical high, with some regions receiving rainfall up to 600% above normal and 80% of Shandong farmland saturated.
  • China’s agricultural insurance system provided inadequate relief, as most policies cover only yield loss and not quality degradation, leaving many farmers with insufficient compensation.
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[para. 1]

[para. 6][para. 7][para. 8][para. 9] Since September, the Yellow-Huai-Hai Plain—referred to as China’s breadbasket—has experienced severe flooding following record-breaking rainfall in provinces such as Henan, Shanxi, and Shandong. Fields were inundated, machinery stranded, and the autumn harvest became chaotic across five major grain-producing provinces. Compounding this problem, the prior spring and summer were marked by drought and extreme heat. By early May, some areas were officially in “exceptional drought” with wheat crops shriveling and dying due to lack of rain.[para. 10] Henan endured its most extreme heat and drought in 64 years, with July temperatures surpassing 40°C (104°F) in 131 counties. When rain finally arrived, it was excessive and untimely, creating further damage.

[para. 11]

[para. 21][para. 22][para. 23][para. 24][para. 25] Meteorologists attributed the extreme weather to an unusually persistent West Pacific subtropical high, which stayed farther north and west than normal, drawing ocean moisture into northern China and causing continuous rain after a prolonged dry spell. Global warming contributes to this volatility; as the atmosphere holds more moisture, dry periods lengthen, resulting in heavier, prolonged rains when they do occur. Such weather patterns, once rare, are likely to become more common due to climate change. Traditionally, northern China’s arid climate led to investments in drought rather than flood-control infrastructure. The rain arrived when sun and dry air were most needed for crop maturation, leading to a mismatch with farming needs and reducing crop quality rather than overall yield.

[para. 26][para. 27][para. 28][para. 29] In Henan, drying facilities were overwhelmed, with daily capacity far below the harvest volume, so some farmers sold spoiled corn directly to alcohol producers at steep discounts. Large-scale farmers saw major portions of their yield molded and unsellable. [para. 30][para. 31][para. 32][para. 33][para. 34] China’s agricultural insurance system—the world’s largest by premium volume—is inadequately responsive. Farmers often find payouts insufficient and policies only cover yield loss, not quality degradation. Ad-hoc “goodwill payments” and symbolic payouts often deplete reserves, leaving less available for real disasters. Insurance coverage is further limited by local government budgets, leading to a “quota system” where some regions insure less than half their farmland.

[para. 35][para. 36][para. 37][para. 38] Large-scale modern family farms, promoted as part of China’s rural revitalization, are particularly vulnerable, with only 41% insured and many dissatisfied with protection and claims. As the crisis passes, planting resumes, but much work remains to adapt Chinese agriculture to climate volatility. The farmers referenced are aliases to protect their identities.

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What Happened When
As of 2022:
Only 41% of China's 3.9 million 'family farms' were insured.
Following the rains of 2023:
Insurers made about 2.5 billion yuan in ad-hoc payouts for quality damage due to rainfall.
Last year (2024):
The price for hiring a harvesting machine was 100 yuan per mu.
March 2025:
Winter wheat in Luoyang, Henan, struggled due to a lack of rain and withered during its critical growth phase.
Spring 2025:
Farmers in wheat-producing regions such as Luoyang, Henan, faced severe drought and water shortages during the critical wheat growth phase.
Early May 2025:
Parts of Henan and neighboring provinces were in a state of 'exceptional drought.'
July 2025:
Henan experienced its hottest and driest summer in 64 years; in a 4-day stretch, temperatures exceeded 40°C in 131 counties.
August 2025:
Henan Daily reported the summer's extreme heat and drought.
September 2025:
Provinces including Henan, Shanxi, and Shandong were hit by relentless rains, inundating the Yellow-Huai-Hai Plain.
September and October 2025:
Shandong saw the highest number of overcast and rainy days and total precipitation since 1951; nearly 80% of farmland was waterlogged.
Before Mid-Autumn Festival 2025:
Continuous downpours began, leading to severe flooding in Shanxi and other regions.
From October 3 to 16, 2025:
Shanxi province received an average of 148.3 millimeters of rain, with the second week seeing rainfall over 600% above normal.
October 14, 2025:
The Ministry of Agriculture and China Meteorological Administration issued an orange alert for severe flooding risk in six provinces.
A week in October 2025:
Lu Benchu and his wife worked daily to salvage their sorghum crop from flooded fields in Shanxi.
Late October 2025:
Farmers harvested sorghum in swamp-like conditions; fields in Shanxi remained bogged and waterlogged.
October 23, 2025:
Corn was seen rotting in Luoyang; at this time in previous years, wheat would have already been planted.
October 25, 2025:
Sorghum harvest and flooding photographed in Jinzhong, Shanxi.
2025:
The price for hiring a harvesting machine increased to 130 yuan per mu.
After the first snow (late 2025):
A farmer in Shanxi decided to wait until after the ground froze to attempt further harvesting.
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