Caixin

China Industrial Output Beats Estimates as AI Boom Offsets Property Drag

Published: Jun. 16, 2026  4:25 p.m.  GMT+8
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China’s industrial production expanded 4.5% in May from a year earlier, beating market expectations as booming demand for artificial intelligence (AI) and resilient exports masked the fallout from a protracted property crisis.

The figure underscores a deepening divergence in the world’s second-largest economy. High-tech manufacturing is surging, while traditional building materials continue to slump.

China Industrial Production Picks Up Pace Note: January and February data are combined.Source: National Bureau of Statistics Year-on-year May July 0 2 4 6 8% 4.5%

May’s output growth exceeded the 4.3% average forecast in a Caixin survey. Equipment manufacturing grew 9.5%, driving nearly 80% of total industrial output growth. The electronics sector surged 17% on the back of AI supply chains.

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