Caixin
Aug 19, 2024 08:49 PM
BUSINESS

Chart of the Day: China’s Green Exports Diverge as Overcapacity Concerns Loom Large

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China’s July customs data showed that exports of electric vehicles (EVs) continued to grow, while the export values and volumes of lithium-ion batteries and solar cells diverged.

The mixed data come as Chinese EV-makers as well as lithium-ion battery and solar manufacturers continue to ramp up shipments to cushion the impact of growing trade tensions and plummeting prices at home due to overcapacity and slowing demand.

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  • In July, China’s EV exports grew 38.7% in volume and 19.8% in value year-on-year.
  • Lithium-ion battery shipments fell 0.2% in volume but rose 7% in value; solar cell shipments increased 28.5% in volume but dropped 18.3% in value.
  • Plug-in hybrid vehicle exports surged 159% in volume, potentially easing pressure on battery EV exports amid rising trade barriers.
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What Happened When
January-July 2023:
Overall export volume of EVs, lithium-ion batteries, and solar cells rose, but only EVs managed cumulative growth in export value.
July 2023:
China's customs data showed that exports of electric vehicles (EVs) continued to grow, and the export values and volumes of lithium-ion batteries and solar cells diverged.
July 2023:
EV exports rose 38.7% year-on-year in volume and 19.8% in value in dollar terms.
July 2023:
China exported 327.7 million lithium-ion batteries, down 0.2% year-on-year, valued at $5.4 billion, up 7%.
July 2023:
Shipments of solar cells surged 28.5% to 707.8 million units, while their value fell 18.3% to $2.6 billion.
July 2023:
Purely electric passenger vehicles accounted for more than 70% of the EV exports, but their growth lagged behind that of hybrids.
July 5, 2023:
The EU imposed extra provisional tariffs of up to 37.6% on China-made battery EVs based on findings from an anti-subsidy probe launched in October 2022.
August 2023:
The European Commission is expected to release the final conclusions from the anti-subsidy investigation.
November 2023:
The temporary duties imposed by the EU on China-made battery EVs are expected to become final.
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