Caixin
Nov 13, 2024 03:47 PM
OPINION

Commentary: China Has Space for Bold Fiscal Expansion

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Shan Weijian speaks during a panel discussion at the 15th Caixin Summit in Beijing on Nov. 8. Photo: Caixin
Shan Weijian speaks during a panel discussion at the 15th Caixin Summit in Beijing on Nov. 8. Photo: Caixin

China’s policy efforts should focus on developing the economy above all else. In this vein, the country needs to boldly implement an expansionary fiscal policy, unconstrained by the traditional 3% ceiling on the fiscal deficit-to-GDP ratio.

Major economies tend to focus on a single goal when tackling their economic problems. For example, Japan has implemented quantitative easing to address deflation. Although the currency depreciated, the deflation problem was eased. Similarly, the U.S. focused solely on bringing down inflation, even if high interest rates dragged on economic growth.

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  • China is advised to focus on economic development and consider an expansionary fiscal policy beyond the 3% fiscal deficit-to-GDP ratio limit.
  • Unlike Japan, China has more fiscal and monetary policy flexibility, with central government debt at only 24% of GDP.
  • Further fiscal stimulus in China could strengthen the yuan, contrasting with Japan's limitations due to high sovereign debt and previous asset bubble challenges.
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Who’s Who
PAG
PAG is an investment firm where Shan Weijian serves as the executive chairman. Shan's commentary provided in the article is based on his speech at the 15th Caixin Summit, focusing on China's economic policy and fiscal potential.
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