Energy Insider: Russian Gas to Power Shanghai by Year-End, Beijing Reins In Solar Industry
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In this week’s Caixin energy wrap, we analyze China’s biggest climate and energy news on policy, industry, projects and more:
• Russian gas to power Shanghai soon
• Beijing reins in solar firms’ expansion
• CATL and BYD send batteries by train
• 39 gigawatts offshore wind farms are on grid
• Auto executive sets sights on Mexico
In focus: Russian gas is expected to power Shanghai by the end of 2024
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- Russian gas is set to power Shanghai via the China-Russia east-route pipeline by the end of 2024, completing early and able to supply 130 million households annually.
- Beijing is slowing Chinese solar firm expansions to address potential overcapacity, with new guidelines on capital requirements and production limits.
- China is expanding rail transport for EV batteries, potentially aiding global exports, while 39 GW of offshore wind power is now grid-connected, making China a global leader.
The latest developments in the energy and climate sector in China include significant advancements in gas, solar, battery logistics, wind, and automotive industries. Russian gas will soon power Shanghai via the newly completed southern segment of the China-Russia east-route pipeline, connecting China’s eastern coastal areas with Heihe on the Chinese-Russian border. This extensive pipeline, which is part of the Power of Siberia project, aims to deliver 38 billion cubic meters of gas annually from Russia to China, meeting the energy demands of megacity clusters like Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and Yangtze River Delta, according to Xinhua [para. 1-5]. Despite gas being a fossil fuel, China categorizes it as a clean energy source, a notable distinction that underscores the country’s strategy to fortify its energy security [para. 5].
In the realm of solar energy, the Chinese government has instructed solar manufacturers to restrain their rapid expansion for capacity alone and instead focus on technological innovations, product quality, and cost reduction. The updated guidelines introduced new capital ratio requirements for expanding solar production which were not present before, indicating the MIIT’s concern over industry-wide overcapacity [para. 6-12]. This comes after warnings from industry executives about potential interim overcapacity [para. 9-12].
China State Railway Group has launched a pilot rail transport service for EV batteries, involving major battery producers like CATL and BYD. This initiative seeks to address the burgeoning demand and forecasted shortage in logistics capacity, as around 90% of lithium batteries were road-transported domestically last year [para. 13-17]. Rail transport not only offers a more efficient method but also positions Chinese firms for global reach through potential exports via the China-Europe Railway Express [para. 17-18].
In offshore wind energy, China has significantly increased its capacity, connecting 39.1 gigawatts to the grid by September, despite a slowdown due to subsidy cuts [para. 19-21]. This growth, surpassing the UK, showcases China’s position as the global leader in offshore wind power. The sector, despite the slowed growth post-subsidy cuts, is projected to double its capacity by 2025 [para. 21-23].
Finally, in the automotive industry, Chinese carmakers, advised to invest in Mexican local production rather than solely exporting vehicles, can leverage Mexico's access to North American and Latin American markets. This strategic move aims to circumvent geopolitical risks while enhancing their market reach. Yu Yang of JAC Motors suggests Chinese firms should capitalize on Mexico’s advantages and develop local production capabilities [para. 24-26]. However, uncertainties loom with potential policy shifts under the incoming U.S. administration that may affect the viability of Chinese EV-makers in Mexico, such as possible tariffs and changes to EV incentives [para. 27-28].
- China State Railway Group Co. Ltd.
- China State Railway Group Co. Ltd. conducted its first large-scale trial transportation of lithium batteries for electric vehicles by rail. The trial involved CATL and BYD, with trains departing from Guiyang, Yibin, and Chongqing to destinations such as Shanghai and Fangchenggang. This initiative aims to provide a more efficient and cost-effective delivery method for the increasingly in-demand EV batteries and help Chinese battery firms expand globally.
- Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL)
- Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL) is one of China’s largest EV-battery makers. It participated in China's first large-scale rail transport trial for lithium batteries, dispatching its cells by train from Guiyang and Yibin to Shanghai on November 19. This initiative aims to find an efficient and reliable transport method for lithium batteries, enabling CATL to potentially utilize the China-Europe Railway Express for global exports.
- BYD Co. Ltd.
- BYD Co. Ltd., one of China's largest EV battery makers, participated in China State Railway Group's trial transport of lithium batteries by train. Their batteries were delivered from Chongqing to Fangchenggang in the Guangxi Zhuang autonomous region. This trial is part of efforts to find efficient ways to meet growing demands and facilitate the potential for export, possibly to Europe, utilizing the China-Europe Railway Express.
- Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp. Ltd. (JAC Motors)
- Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp. Ltd. (JAC Motors) is among the best-selling Chinese automakers in Mexico, primarily selling fossil-fuel vehicles. The company is advised to transition from exporting to investing in local production in Mexico to better access regional markets and navigate geopolitical risks, according to Yu Yang, the general manager of JAC Motors' international business division.
- SAIC Motor Corp. Ltd.
- SAIC Motor Corp. Ltd. is one of the best-selling Chinese automakers in Mexico, focusing primarily on fossil-fuel vehicles. The company, along with others like JAC Motors and Chery, is encouraged to invest in local production to better access regional markets while mitigating geopolitical risks. The prospect for Chinese EV-makers like SAIC in Mexico is uncertain due to potential changes in U.S. policies under Donald Trump.
- Chery Automobile Co. Ltd.
- Chery Automobile Co. Ltd. is one of the best-selling Chinese automakers in Mexico, primarily selling fossil-fuel vehicles. The company, along with JAC Motors and SAIC Motor Corp. Ltd., is encouraged to invest in local production in Mexico to better leverage regional market access and navigate geopolitical risks. The prospects for Chinese EV-makers like Chery in Mexico are uncertain due to potential changes in U.S. trade policies under incoming President Donald Trump.
- By the end of September 2024:
- A total of 39.1 gigawatts (GW) of offshore wind farms had been connected to the grid in China.
- Nov. 18, 2024:
- The final pieces of the southernmost part of the China-Russia east-route pipeline were welded together in Haimen, Jiangsu province, seven months ahead of schedule.
- Nov. 19, 2024:
- China State Railway Group Co. Ltd. conducted its first large-scale trial transportation of lithium batteries for electric vehicles by train.
- Nov. 20, 2024:
- The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) published updated guidelines instructing Chinese solar manufacturers to slow down expansion.
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