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In Depth: How Labubu Proved Pop Mart Right

Published: Jun. 27, 2025  8:21 p.m.  GMT+8
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A new line of collectibles featuring Labubu, an elf doll distinguished by its big cute eyes and slightly creepy sharp-toothed smile, sold out within seconds of its online launch on June 12.

Flaunted by celebrities like Rihanna and K-pop superstar Lisa, the toy has become a global sensation, spawning bidding wars and unruly lines outside stores. The frenzy has transformed its owner, Pop Mart International Group Ltd. — a company dismissed by many investors in its early days — into one of the world’s most valuable intellectual property (IP) firms.

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  • Pop Mart’s Labubu collectibles became a global sensation in 2025, with overseas sales jumping up to 480% and total revenue rising 165%-170% YoY in Q1.
  • Pop Mart’s proprietary IP strategy, direct-to-consumer model, and “blind box” approach yield high profit margins (71.3% overseas), but also create challenges like regulatory risks, scalping, and counterfeiting.
  • China’s IP-driven toy market surpassed 101.8 billion yuan in 2024, with intensified competition from over 22,000 trendy toy firms.
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Explore the story in 3 minutes

A new collectible toy line featuring Labubu, an elf doll characterized by its large eyes and sharp-toothed smile, sold out almost instantly upon its launch on June 12, 2025. The popularity of Labubu, promoted by global celebrities such as Rihanna and Lisa from K-pop, ignited international bidding wars and led to chaotic scenes at stores. This success has propelled Pop Mart International Group Ltd., the toy's creator, into one of the most valuable intellectual property (IP) firms globally, overturning initial skepticism from investors and transforming the company’s fortunes[para. 1][para. 2].

Pop Mart's revenue soared between 165% and 170% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with overseas sales skyrocketing by up to 480%. During April and May 2025, the company recorded more than 100 million yuan ($13.9 million) in sales in each of North America, Europe, Australia, and Southeast Asia, indicating sustained international demand. This rapid growth was attributed to Pop Mart’s strategy of exclusive IPs, artificial scarcity, social media marketing, and the “blind box” phenomenon that appeals to consumers used to short-form entertainment. However, this explosive growth also introduced operational challenges, including supply shortages, counterfeit products, scalping, and potential regulatory risks due to hype-fueled overconsumption[para. 3][para. 4].

Pop Mart began in 2010 as a toy reseller and only discovered success in 2016 with its first proprietary IP, Molly. By 2017, the company was profitable, and its blockbuster IPO on the Hong Kong Exchange in 2020 saw its market cap exceed HK$100 billion ($12.7 billion). Although the share price experienced volatility and an extended slump until early 2024, it rebounded, peaking at HK$275 in June 2025. Initially, investors doubted its business model and feared the risks of over-reliance on a single IP amid intensifying market competition[para. 7][para. 8][para. 9][para. 10][para. 11][para. 12].

Labubu, created by Hong Kong artist Kasing Lung in 2015 and licensed exclusively by Pop Mart in 2019, represents a shift toward “image IP”—characters that attract consumers through their visual design rather than narrative content. This trend is increasingly influential, bypassing cultural barriers and leveraging social media’s global reach. As a result, image IPs like Labubu and Jellycat are surpassing content-based IPs in market penetration. Morgan Stanley projects Pop Mart’s sales will grow from $3.6 billion in 2025 to $6 billion in 2027, making it the fastest-growing global consumer brand[para. 13][para. 14][para. 15][para. 16][para. 17][para. 18][para. 19][para. 20].

Pop Mart’s direct-to-consumer strategy, producing and selling original IP through their own channels, allows high profit margins—71.3% overseas and 63.9% domestically in 2024. By comparison, peers such as 52toys recorded a 40% margin. Pop Mart’s method enables agile product launches and supply adjustments, fostering continuous consumer engagement. The company is rapidly expanding with plans for 100 new overseas stores in 2025, over 150 in the U.S., and roughly 60 each in Europe and Southeast Asia by 2026[para. 21][para. 22][para. 23][para. 24][para. 25][para. 26][para. 27][para. 28][para. 29][para. 30].

Nevertheless, challenges abound: regulatory scrutiny over the “blind box” sales model, production bottlenecks, supply-demand mismatches, and surging counterfeits. Pop Mart has cooperated with authorities to curb counterfeiting and introduced presales to thwart scalpers, leading to a 60% price drop for Labubu on secondary markets. Industry competition is also intensifying as new entrants flood China’s booming IP-driven toy sector, which is projected to exceed 212 billion yuan by 2029. Despite its head start, Pop Mart must navigate evolving consumer tastes, regulatory landscapes, and aggressive competitors seeking their own success in the global collectibles market[para. 31][para. 32][para. 33][para. 34][para. 35][para. 36][para. 37][para. 38][para. 39][para. 40].

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Who’s Who
Pop Mart International Group Ltd.
Pop Mart International Group Ltd. is an intellectual property (IP) firm that creates and sells collectible toys. Their "blind box" model, featuring exclusive IPs like Labubu, has driven explosive growth, with overseas sales jumping by as much as 480% in Q1 2025. Despite challenges like production shortages and scalping, Pop Mart plans significant global expansion, including over 150 stores in the U.S. by 2026.
Miniso Group Holding Ltd.
Miniso Group Holding Ltd. is a tough competitor for Pop Mart International Group Ltd. in the toy business. In April 2021, Miniso's trendy toy brand, Top Toy, announced aggressive expansion plans. During that time, investors viewed Top Toy as a significant rival to Pop Mart.
Huatai Securities (USA) Inc.
Huatai Securities (USA) Inc. is a financial firm. Fan Junhao, its chief analyst for consumer discretionary, noted that "image IP" like Labubu and Jellycat are increasingly surpassing content-based IP in popularity. This shift reflects a consumer preference for short-form content and the advantage of visual IP in efficient messaging and global appeal due to fewer cultural barriers.
KFC Corp.
In early 2022, KFC Corp. collaborated with Pop Mart on a blind-box meal campaign. This initiative faced criticism from the China Consumers Association and was later featured on the "315 Gala"—a state-backed TV program highlighting consumer rights issues—for allegedly encouraging excessive consumption and food waste.
Jotoys
Jotoys is a trendy toy brand whose co-founder, Wang Zefeng, noted the current "IP inventory war" among toymakers. The company aims to acquire 100 IPs from artists within a year, acknowledging the difficulty of finding artists with both trend-setting aesthetics and market appeal.
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What Happened When
2010:
Pop Mart started as a simple reseller of toys.
2015:
Hong Kong artist Kasing Lung created Labubu and related creatures for his book series 'The Monsters.'
2016:
Pop Mart launched its first products featuring exclusive IP, starting with 'Molly' created by Kenny Wong.
2017:
Pop Mart became profitable for the first time.
2019:
Labubu became part of Pop Mart’s in-house IP through an exclusive licensing agreement.
2020:
Pop Mart held its blockbuster Hong Kong IPO; share price surged over 80% on debut, pushing market cap past HK$100 billion.
March 2021:
Pop Mart stock began a prolonged decline.
April 2021:
Top Toy, under Miniso Group, announced aggressive expansion plans.
Early 2022:
Pop Mart's blind-box meal collaboration with KFC was criticized by the China Consumers Association.
2022:
Pop Mart’s blind-box campaign was highlighted during the '315 Gala,' a state TV program.
Second half of 2022:
Pop Mart stock bottomed out after prolonged decline.
August 2022:
China’s top market regulator issued draft guidelines prohibiting manipulation of blind box sales odds.
2023:
China's blind box regulations became official.
2024:
Pop Mart’s share price stabilized between HK$15 and HK$30 until early 2024.
2024:
52toys reported a total revenue of 630 million yuan, about one-fifth of Pop Mart’s 'The Monsters' series revenue that year.
2024:
China's IP-driven toy market surpassed 101.8 billion yuan.
April 2025:
Labubu third-generation plushies, containing six toys, were released.
April 2025:
Pop Mart maintained high-speed revenue growth.
By early 2025:
Pop Mart’s operations in North America, Europe, Australia, and Southeast Asia each booked more than 100 million yuan in sales.
First quarter of 2025:
Pop Mart’s total revenue grew between 165% and 170% year-on-year; overseas sales jumped by as much as 480%.
May 2025:
Pop Mart’s high growth continued; 3,443 new toy company registrations were added in the first four months.
May 2025:
52toys, a Chinese toymaker, applied for an IPO in Hong Kong.
May 7, 2025:
Borchid Capital announced it had sold all pre-IPO shares in Pop Mart, cashing out nearly HK$2.3 billion.
As of late May 2025:
China had 22,300 trendy toy firms according to Securities Times.
Early June 2025:
Pop Mart suspended sales of Labubu plush toys in U.K. and South Korea stores due to safety concerns.
June 10, 2025:
Morgan Stanley released a report on Pop Mart, projecting rapid sales growth.
June 12, 2025:
A new line of Labubu collectibles sold out within seconds of its online launch.
June 16, 2025:
Pop Mart stock peaked at HK$275 per share in mid-June, average price for a full set of Labubu third-generation plushies on Qiandao exceeded 2,400 yuan.
June 17, 2025:
By this date, Chinese customs began reporting seizures of over 100,000 counterfeit Labubu and other Pop Mart products.
June 18, 2025:
Pop Mart launched presales for the third-generation Labubu plushie series for the first time.
June 18, 2025:
Prices on Qiandao for the plushie series dropped by nearly 60% from June 16, 2025.
By June 25, 2025:
Chinese customs reported, between June 17–25, seizing more than 100,000 counterfeit Labubu and Pop Mart products.
June 25, 2025:
As of this date, Pop Mart’s stock had fallen 10% to HK$247.4 per share from its June 16, 2025 peak.
2025:
Pop Mart plans to open 100 stores overseas.
2025:
Pop Mart’s sales projected to reach $3.6 billion.
AI generated, for reference only
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