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Commentary: Canada’s Pivot to China Signals a New Global Order

Published: Jan. 28, 2026  5:07 p.m.  GMT+8
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Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney arrives in Beijing on Jan. 14, 2026. Photo: VCG
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney arrives in Beijing on Jan. 14, 2026. Photo: VCG

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney’s visit to China in mid-January resulted in what he termed a “preliminary but landmark” strategic partnership. It was the first such visit by a Canadian leader in a decade and stands as one of the most consequential diplomatic shifts since Carney took office in 2025. For observers of the long-standing tensions — stemming from the 2018 Meng Wanzhou incident and the tariff disputes of 2024 — this rapprochement marks a critical turning point.

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  • Canadian PM Mark Carney's 2026 visit to China resulted in a "preliminary but landmark" strategic partnership, signaling a major diplomatic shift amid US tariff threats.
  • Trump's fluctuating response, including a potential 100% tariff on Canada, underscores rising uncertainty and eroding post-WWII alliances.
  • Canada, like other nations, is diversifying trade and partnerships as alliances become fluid; UK PM Starmer is also set to visit Beijing in January 2026.
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Who’s Who
Primavera Capital Group
Zhu Ning, a senior macro strategy advisor at Primavera Capital Group (春华资本集团), contributed to the article. He is also a professor of finance at the Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance at Shanghai Jiao Tong University.
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What Happened When
2018:
Meng Wanzhou incident occurs, straining Canada-China relations.
2024:
Canada and China engage in tariff disputes.
2025:
Mark Carney takes office as Canadian Prime Minister.
Mid-January 2026:
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney visits China, resulting in a 'preliminary but landmark' strategic partnership.
2026:
At the World Economic Forum in Davos, Mark Carney makes remarks about the fracturing of the U.S.-led international order.
Less than a week after Carney's remarks at Davos in 2026:
Trump threatens to impose a blanket 100% tariff on Canada if the trade agreement with China proceeds.
Jan. 28, 2026:
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer is scheduled to visit Beijing, as announced by the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
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