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China Growth Not Fully Translating Into Market Gains, Former Adviser Says

Published: Mar. 19, 2026  12:52 p.m.  GMT+8
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Liu Shijin. Photo: IC Photo
Liu Shijin. Photo: IC Photo

China’s economic growth is not fully translating into market-recognized gains, a former senior government adviser said, pointing to persistent deflationary pressures and calling for a shift toward consumption.

Liu Shijin, a former deputy director of the State Council’s Development Research Center, said China should pivot from an investment- and export-driven model toward one led more by consumption and human capital during the 15th Five-Year Plan period starting in 2026.

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  • China’s economic growth faces deflationary pressures, with the GDP deflator negative for 11 consecutive quarters and weak demand.
  • Liu Shijin urges shifting from investment/export-driven growth to boosting consumption, especially in education, health, and elderly care.
  • Consumption lags international averages by about 20% of GDP; Liu warns against more investment in sectors with overcapacity and stresses structural reforms.
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