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Analysis: Gold Caught in Tug-of-War Between Resilient Dollar and Sovereign Buying

Published: Jul. 9, 2026  6:56 p.m.  GMT+8
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Photo: VCG
Photo: VCG

International gold prices are struggling to find a clear trajectory, caught between shifting U.S. interest rate expectations, a strong dollar, and underlying central bank demand.

Spot gold retreated to $4,137 an ounce Tuesday, snapping a brief early-month rally. That temporary surge was sparked by unexpectedly weak U.S. payroll data, which pushed market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike from September to October. 

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