ECONOMY

IMF Cuts China Growth Forecasts for 2026 and 2027

Published: Oct. 13, 2026 5:23 p.m. GMT+8

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) cut its economic growth forecasts for China for 2026 and 2027, citing prolonged uncertainty, structural headwinds and continued property sector strains.

The Washington-based institution expects China’s economy to grow 4.5% in 2026 and 4% in 2027, both 0.1 percentage points lower than its July forecasts, according to its latest World Economic Outlook released Tuesday. China’s GDP grew 5% last year.

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Explore the story in 30 seconds

IMF cut China's 2026 and 2027 growth forecasts to 4.5% and 4%, each down 0.1 points from July.
China's Q2 GDP grew 4.3%, dragged by weak consumption, investment, and property strains.
IMF raised 2026 global growth forecast to 3.1%, citing AI-driven investment gains.

AI generated, for reference only

What Happened When

2025：: China's GDP grew 5%.

Q2 2026：: China's second-quarter growth was 4.3%, weaker than expected due to sluggish consumption and declining investment amid real estate pressures.