Caixin

China’s 2025 GDP Grows 5%, Meeting Expectations

Published: Jan. 19, 2026  10:04 a.m.  GMT+8
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Analysts broadly view the faltering effect of the nationwide consumer goods trade-in program and the intensifying campaign against race-to-the-bottom competition as major factors weighing on growth.
Analysts broadly view the faltering effect of the nationwide consumer goods trade-in program and the intensifying campaign against race-to-the-bottom competition as major factors weighing on growth.

China’s GDP grew 5% last year, on par with market expectations.

The figure, published Monday by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), compares with a 5% average estimate from a Caixin survey of economists and 2024’s 5% growth.

In the fourth quarter, GDP rose 4.5% year-on-year. That compares with a 4.8% expansion in the previous quarter, a one-year low, as weak consumption and a deepening property slump dragged on growth.

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  • China’s GDP grew 5% in 2023, matching market estimates and economist surveys.
  • Q4 2023 GDP growth slowed to 4.5% year-on-year, compared to 4.8% in the previous quarter.
  • Growth was weighed down by weak consumption, property sector issues, and global trade uncertainties.
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