1. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) announced it will raise the forex deposit reserve requirement ratio for financial institutions from 4% to 6%, effective November 15, marking its first increase since late 2021. [para. 1]
2. The timing of this policy move reflects the yuan's significant appreciation—the currency has gained more than 9% against the U.S. dollar since the start of last year, including over 4.5% appreciation this year alone. [para. 2]
3. The raised requirement compels financial institutions to deposit a larger portion of their forex deposits with the central bank, thereby reducing market liquidity. Based on nearly $1.2 trillion in forex deposits held at the end of June, this increase could theoretically withdraw approximately $24 billion in foreign currency liquidity from the market. [para. 3]
4. The onshore yuan closed Monday at 6.6458 per dollar, its strongest level in more than four years. However, on Tuesday, the PBOC set its daily reference rate at 6.7150—692 pips weaker than Monday's close—signaling official resistance to one-way appreciation of the currency. [para. 4]
5. This intervention policy has widened the gap between the daily reference rate and the previous close to approximately 500 pips, up from roughly 100 pips over the preceding four months. [para. 5]
6. The policy's immediate impact was visible by Tuesday morning: the onshore yuan weakened to around 6.67 per dollar, while the offshore yuan traded above 6.66. [para. 6]
7. Historically, the PBOC raised the forex deposit reserve requirement ratio twice in 2021, bringing it to 9%, then cut it three times during 2022 and 2023 to 4% as the yuan weakened during that period, reflecting the central bank's counter-cyclical management approach. [para. 7]
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