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Analysis: Why China’s Export Boom Isn’t Contributing More to Economic Growth

Published: Apr. 17, 2026  5:47 p.m.  GMT+8
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China’s exports surged in the first quarter, yet their contribution to economic growth was relatively limited, highlighting the growing role of domestic demand.

GDP expanded 5% year-on-year, with domestic demand accounting for 84.7% of growth, according to the National Bureau of Statistics. That marked a sharp increase from a year earlier, even as exports rose 14.7% in dollar terms in the first quarter.

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  • China's Q1 GDP grew 5% YoY; domestic demand contributed 84.7%, external demand 15.3%.
  • Exports rose 14.7% in dollar terms, but imports narrowed trade surplus to $264.3B from $271.1B YoY.
  • Shift highlights larger role of domestic demand versus last year's 45.2% external contribution.
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