Export momentum softened on a sharp slowdown in trade growth in August

The much-awaited July meeting called for the best result possible, a sign that the government is de-emphasizing the ambitious growth goal set in March

The yuan could weaken further against the U.S. dollar in the coming months, ending the year at 6.9

Beijing may fine-tune its Covid policy gradually if met by staunch public resistance or severe economic losses, but when and how this change could occur remains the biggest macro uncertainty

Top legislature may still set a goal at ‘above 5%’ backed by more supportive fiscal policy and infrastructure investment

The biggest uncertainty is what lies ahead for the pandemic and efforts to curb its spread, which could bring surprises to domestic consumption recovery and export strength

China’s Politburo meeting on Monday sets the policy tone for stabilizing growth and shows that the senior leadership has recognized downward pressures on the economy

Embattled Chinese developer’s debt problems are aggravated by a property sector already weighed down by weakening fundamentals and policy tightening

Given the leadership’s determination to contain property-related imbalances and risks, the Chinese government has grown more tolerant of a market slowdown

Real estate makes up too big a share of household wealth for home prices to plunge without the government offering policy support

The authorities will likely take steps to increase coal supplies and adjust power tariffs to ease the shortfall

Ensuring that the developer can actually finish its ongoing projects will be crucial to safeguarding faith in the property sector and social stability

Shipment growth to key destinations accelerated across-the-board in August, while key commodities drove more than half of the import growth accelerations

Reforms expected to support household income growth, increase public services, expand social welfare, adjust income distribution and encourage corporations to play a bigger role in help everyone prosper

The country’s peaking population will create problems that will ripple through the economy, including a smaller labor force and an increasingly stressed pension system

The release of the country’s much anticipated census data offers a chance to look back at past predictions to see what can be gleaned about the future

It’s unlikely that the PBOC will aggressively tighten liquidity or hike rates as the CPI may stay largely under control through most of this year

With the exception of marginally tighter credit for the real estate sector, cutting back on credit growth won’t have much impact on the economy

This year’s Government Work Report calls for smaller-than-expected fiscal consolidation, gradual monetary policy normalization, while making innovation and self-reliance priorities

China’s top legislature will likely push for further reform and opening and highlight technology innovation and greener development as future goals