Real estate makes up too big a share of household wealth for home prices to plunge without the government offering policy support

The authorities will likely take steps to increase coal supplies and adjust power tariffs to ease the shortfall

Ensuring that the developer can actually finish its ongoing projects will be crucial to safeguarding faith in the property sector and social stability

Shipment growth to key destinations accelerated across-the-board in August, while key commodities drove more than half of the import growth accelerations

Reforms expected to support household income growth, increase public services, expand social welfare, adjust income distribution and encourage corporations to play a bigger role in help everyone prosper

The country’s peaking population will create problems that will ripple through the economy, including a smaller labor force and an increasingly stressed pension system

The release of the country’s much anticipated census data offers a chance to look back at past predictions to see what can be gleaned about the future

It’s unlikely that the PBOC will aggressively tighten liquidity or hike rates as the CPI may stay largely under control through most of this year

With the exception of marginally tighter credit for the real estate sector, cutting back on credit growth won’t have much impact on the economy

This year’s Government Work Report calls for smaller-than-expected fiscal consolidation, gradual monetary policy normalization, while making innovation and self-reliance priorities

China’s top legislature will likely push for further reform and opening and highlight technology innovation and greener development as future goals

First quarter GDP growth will exceed 18% as migrant workers who never went home for the Lunar New Year get back on the job faster than usual

The deleveraging in 2021 will not be as sweeping as previously and should have limited impact on growth

Strong global recovery should help push export growth to 10% in 2021

The country could contribute at least 30% of global growth in the next decade

UBS’s chief China economist predicts a global recovery will help push Chinese export growth to 10% next year

Global demand may soften in the near term but is expected to recover strongly in 2021

UBS forecast assumes exports and domestic consumer spending will lead recovery as vaccines vanquish the pandemic

Any new agreement is unlikely to be reached until late 2021, while a reduction or removal of existing U.S. tariffs is not expected

If a Biden administration is elected, the chances are small that it will unwind some of Washington’s China tariffs